markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

1,906 events on 2026-08-06role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

← prev day2026-08-06next day →all history

2026-08-06Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 6?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 6?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=6.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=55.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Polymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-06Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket