markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-07Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Miles Johns vs. Jessie Rosas (Featherweight, Main Card)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=43.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=97.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=12.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=98.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket