markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-08Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-08?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-08?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-08-09?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Will Standard Liege win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Standard Liege win on 2026-08-08?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 191.5
Polymarket top market 'Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 191.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-09?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=67.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs STATE - Map 1 Winner': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Giant Pandas (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sinners vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-08-08?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?': YES=97.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-08?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-08?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket