markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will PSV win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will PSV win on 2026-08-08?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-08?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=98.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winner': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket