markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,680 events on 2026-08-09role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

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2026-08-09Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09National Bank Open: Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic
Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Polymarket top market 'Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Polymarket top market 'Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Counter-Strike: ECHO vs GenOne (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ECHO vs GenOne (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=62.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Polymarket top market 'Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09ITF Astana: Su Jeong Jang vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Polymarket top market 'ITF Astana: Su Jeong Jang vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=66.00%
CIRCLEmarket:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 9?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Polymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Counter-Strike: K27 vs SAW (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: K27 vs SAW (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket