markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 10?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=95.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket