markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,693 events on 2026-08-10role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

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2026-08-10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-09?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-09?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-09?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Once Caldas win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Once Caldas win on 2026-08-09?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-09?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jakub Mensik
Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jakub Mensik': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
Polymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-09?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-10US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket