markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will Goiás EC win on 2026-08-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Goiás EC win on 2026-08-10?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-11Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=96.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?': YES=96.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Polymarket top market 'Will GameStop acquire eBay?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket