markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ITF koksijde: Jelle Sels vs Lars Goran Verwerft': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-10IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 11?': YES=97.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Plymouth Argyle FC vs. Exeter City FC: Both Teams to Score': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-08-10?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Will CD Nacional win on 2026-08-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will CD Nacional win on 2026-08-10?': YES=20.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-08-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-08-10?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-10?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-10Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket