markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 12?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=98.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 12?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=97.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-11?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=96.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-11?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=73.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-11?': YES=99.90%
BSDAmarket:polymarket - 2026-08-12Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket