markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-11?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Sakellaridis': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-11?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever
Polymarket top market 'New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?': YES=97.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 4.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-11?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=71.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-11?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Kei Nishikori vs Francisco Comesana': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien': YES=4.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-11?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket