markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 14?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Camila Osorio': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group A
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group A': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=98.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmez': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anhelina Kalinina': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Tristan Schoolkate vs Federico Cina': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andrade': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavsky': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket