markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=13.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 14?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 4 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-14DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5
Polymarket top market 'DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 14?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=23.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 14?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=78.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=21.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 14?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Dylan Dietrich': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket