markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Astana: Khumoun Sultanov vs Mert Alkaya
Polymarket top market 'Astana: Khumoun Sultanov vs Mert Alkaya': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 14?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 14?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket