markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket