markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,656 events on 2026-08-14role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data

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2026-08-13Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces
Polymarket top market 'Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina
Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-13?': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)
Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13LAC vs. HOU: O/U 36.5
Polymarket top market 'LAC vs. HOU: O/U 36.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage
Polymarket top market 'LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=18.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Nadia Podoroska
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Nadia Podoroska': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelken
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelken': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struff': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima
Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=18.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-13Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket