markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=19.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=61.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=84.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=6.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=78.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=85.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 15?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket