markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 15?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket