markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 18?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-16?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?': YES=19.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 17?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-16?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 17?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=29.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bulldog Esports vs LEO (BO3) - NLC Regular Season': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket