markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury
Polymarket top market 'Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Faria': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-16?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonova': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket