markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 3 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket