markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=89.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 18?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=71.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 18?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=36.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=18.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket