markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-17Will BK Hacken win on 2026-08-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will BK Hacken win on 2026-08-17?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-In': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=76.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18?': YES=98.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=89.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 18?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?': YES=98.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 17?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=6.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=31.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=23.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Abdullah Shelbayh': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 3 - 3 Elche CF?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-17?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket