markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-18?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket