markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=82.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=96.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=20.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?': YES=98.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 20?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 19?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Prague 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Chun-Hsin Tseng': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket