markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,681 events on 2026-08-19role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

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2026-08-19Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=98.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19LoL: Onion Team vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Onion Team vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Polymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-19LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket