markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?': YES=98.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 19?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 20?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=20.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=97.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Onion Team vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket