markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket