markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will FUT Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will FUT Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=10.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?': YES=28.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=33.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?': YES=53.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?': YES=80.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?': YES=12.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket