markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=96.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=19.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=37.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=61.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket