markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,294 events on 2026-08-22role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

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2026-08-22Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Packers vs. Broncos
Polymarket top market 'Packers vs. Broncos': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Spread: Portland Fire (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Portland Fire (-3.5)': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-21?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=69.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Polymarket top market 'Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?
Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=11.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=26.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=48.50%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Spread: CAR (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: CAR (-1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-22Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo
Polymarket top market 'Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket