markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-21IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-21Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-21Jets vs. Steelers
Polymarket top market 'Jets vs. Steelers': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=70.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Coventry City FC?': YES=6.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-21?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-08-21?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-21Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-21?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-21Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket