markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-21Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=5.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-21Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=17.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Spread: CAR (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: CAR (-1.5)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-21Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=34.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-21Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)': YES=97.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=58.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-21Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-21Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys': YES=99.90%
KEYSmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket