markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roehampton 2: Andreja Petrovic vs John Echeverria': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Kingston 2: Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond
Polymarket top market 'Kingston 2: Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-23?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23No one announced as next James Bond?
Polymarket top market 'No one announced as next James Bond?': YES=21.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=59.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winner': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Ethereum Up or Down on August 23?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket