markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-22?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 23?': YES=98.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Spread: TB (-5.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: TB (-5.5)': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=5.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=80.00%
BSDAmarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=22.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5': YES=14.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?': YES=32.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-22?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=31.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-22?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=98.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23PHI vs. NE: O/U 36.5
Polymarket top market 'PHI vs. NE: O/U 36.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket