markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Cowboys vs. Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Cowboys vs. Cardinals': YES=97.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=22.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=55.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=14.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket