markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-23Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23No one announced as next James Bond?
Polymarket top market 'No one announced as next James Bond?': YES=21.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Richard Mallory': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins': YES=5.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winston-Salem Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksby': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Stade Rennais FC 1901 leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Kingston 2: Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond
Polymarket top market 'Kingston 2: Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-23?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket