markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=23.19%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=41.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=41.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=34.32%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia report gross margins lower than 60% in any year by 2028?': YES=42.44%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=69.87%

Manifold consensus on '📈 Will Nvidia report Q2 FY2027 revenue above $92 billion?': YES=90.55%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: NO (-2.5)': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=86.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=2.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=91.00%

Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.10%

Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=63.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-22?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 23?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff': YES=22.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-22?': YES=38.00%

Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)': YES=56.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?': YES=74.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Eagles vs. Patriots': YES=67.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=6.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=32.50%