markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-23Bears vs. Bengals
Polymarket top market 'Bears vs. Bengals': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-22?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-22?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=98.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=21.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23PHI vs. NE: O/U 36.5
Polymarket top market 'PHI vs. NE: O/U 36.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=18.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Monterrey Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeeva': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-22?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Athletics vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Houston Astros': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-22?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket