markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=73.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Augsburg: Federico Iannaccone vs Oleksii Krutykh': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Augsburg: Mika Brunold vs Liam Gavrielides': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-24?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossi': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-In
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-In': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket