markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,687 events on 2026-08-24role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data

← prev day2026-08-24next day →all history

2026-08-24Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Polymarket top market 'Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=32.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Once Caldas win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Once Caldas win on 2026-08-22?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?': YES=97.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-23?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?
Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=98.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=57.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-In
Polymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-In': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova
Polymarket top market 'Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24No one announced as next James Bond?
Polymarket top market 'No one announced as next James Bond?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-24US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket