markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Kamilla Rakhimova': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Richard Mallory': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Taylah Preston': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24No one announced as next James Bond?
Polymarket top market 'No one announced as next James Bond?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-23?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Kingston 2: Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond
Polymarket top market 'Kingston 2: Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winston-Salem Open: Dino Prizmic vs Cruz Hewitt': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo
Polymarket top market 'Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs En-Shuo Liang': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky
Polymarket top market 'Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket