markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winston-Salem Open: Dino Prizmic vs Cruz Hewitt': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Athletics vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Houston Astros': YES=39.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-23?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteele': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will AC Horsens win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will AC Horsens win on 2026-08-23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=96.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket