markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?': YES=30.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=35.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Saints vs. Cowboys
Polymarket top market 'Saints vs. Cowboys': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 27?': YES=98.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=85.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 24?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 25?': YES=95.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=12.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=12.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on August 25?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=12.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=65.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 25?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?': YES=9.90%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket