markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-In': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=42.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=72.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?': YES=9.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket