markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.00%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=27.76%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=85.99%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=23.19%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=69.87%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=34.32%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=39.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=39.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will China buy the H200 from NVIDIA': YES=35.19%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia will compete at the foundation layer by Jan 1, 2028': YES=51.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=63.78%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=5.49%

Manifold consensus on '📈 Will Nvidia report Q2 FY2027 revenue above $92 billion?': YES=89.94%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=3.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August?': YES=5.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 26?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=74.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?': YES=2.60%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=52.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi': YES=73.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=35.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 25?': YES=96.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25?': YES=21.50%