markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=82.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Saints vs. Cowboys
Polymarket top market 'Saints vs. Cowboys': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 27?': YES=98.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 24?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on August 25?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=12.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?': YES=65.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=65.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 25?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?': YES=9.90%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-In': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawa': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=43.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket