markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 25?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=35.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=12.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Saints vs. Cowboys
Polymarket top market 'Saints vs. Cowboys': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 27?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 24?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=91.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on August 25?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 25?': YES=92.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?': YES=62.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=65.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?': YES=9.90%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 25?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket