markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?': YES=9.90%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarket- 2026-08-25Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawa': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=39.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffs': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=12.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekic': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=67.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket