markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-25Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremska': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenier': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrez': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moeller': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket